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Paul R Ehrlich
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Why Is It So Hard to Predict the Future? - The Atlantic
https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2019/06/how-to-predict-the-future/588040/
Articles in the Atlantic
Expert forecasting
Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA)
Julian Simon
Paul R Ehrlich
Paul Sabin
Philip E Tetlock
The Good Judgment Project